May 02, 2024

Stock market stocks in 2018: the market capitalization of the two cities evaporated 14 trillion

Abstract On December 28th, the two cities closed, and the 2018 A-share transaction came to an end. As of yesterday's close, the Shanghai Composite Index rose 0.44% on the day, closing at 2493.9 points; Shenzhen Component Index rose 0.34% to close at 7237.79 points. Despite the last deal in 2018...

On December 28th, the two cities closed, and the 2018 A-share transaction came to an end. As of yesterday's close, the Shanghai Composite Index rose 0.44% on the day, closing at 2493.9 points; Shenzhen Component Index rose 0.34% to close at 7237.79 points.

Although the two markets ended in the last trading day of 2018, from the perspective of the entire 2018 year, under the influence of domestic de-leverage and the decline of US stocks, A-shares oscillated lower throughout the year. As of December 28, the Shanghai Composite Index fell 24.59% for the year and the Shenzhen Component Index fell 34.42%.

The market value of the two cities has dropped by nearly 30%.

According to the data, as of yesterday, the total number of listed companies in the two cities reached 3,567, the total market value of the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets was 48.67 trillion yuan, and the total number of A-share listed companies at the end of 2017 was 3,485, with a total market value of 63.06 trillion yuan. The number of A-share listed companies increased by 82 this year, and the market value decreased by 14.39 trillion yuan, a decrease of 29.56%.

According to the statistics of Zhongdeng Company, the number of investors at the end of the A-share market in 2018 was 145 million, and the market value decreased by 14.39 trillion yuan. The average loss of A-share investors this year was 99,200 yuan.

In addition, the monthly turnover of the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets generally showed a downward trend. The turnover in September fell to a low of 4.94 trillion yuan in the year, and then rebounded.

From the perspective of the sector, the market capitalization of 28 industries in the Shenwan industry category was overwhelming. Among them, the smallest decline was for the banking sector, which fell by 11.96%. The media, mining, construction materials and other 12 sectors all fell by more than 30%.

From the stocks, in 2018, of the total of more than 3,500 stocks, only 296 stocks with a ratio of about 8% achieved positive returns. According to the data, more than 1,200 stocks fell more than 40%.

Jinli permanent magnet won the most cattle crown

Although the overall performance of the A-share market was not good, there were still substantial growth in stocks. Among them, Jinli Permanent Magnet won the 2018 A-shares with the highest gain of 302.78%, and the other stocks with the highest gains were Zhongshi Technology. 712, Taiyong Long March, Green Power, Great Wall Military, Ruike Laser, Tianfeng Securities, WuXi PharmaTech, Debon shares, etc.

In the comparison of the most bull stocks, the worst performing bear stocks are *ST Bao Qian, *ST Fukong, Shenwu Environmental Protection, Jinya Technology, LeTV, *ST Huaxin, Orient, Jianrui Woeng, etc. Stocks that fell more than 80%. In addition, if the first stock is delisted because the stock price is lower than 1 yuan for 20 consecutive days, and the first stock that has been delisted based on the “Implementation Measures for Significantly Banning Delisting of Listed Companies”, Changsheng Creature has become This year's A-share "Pit King".

In 2018, a total of six companies withdrew from the market due to three consecutive years of losses, mergers and other non-conformities, higher than the 5 delisting companies in 2017 and two delisting companies in 2016. The six are: Zhonghong Shares, Sinotrans Development, Ether Carbon, Jean, Kunming, and Deep Base B.

It is worth noting that in 2018, there were two “penny shares” in the A-share market. Among them, Jinya Technology’s share price was 0.77 yuan, and *ST Hairun’s share price was 0.87 yuan. Zhonghong retired from the market before the closing price of 0.22 yuan, refreshing the lowest price record in the history of A shares.

In addition to the poor performance of the index and individual stocks, the IPO meeting rate in 2018 also reached the lowest value in 10 years. Up to now, 2018 A-share IPOs have issued 199 companies, and the company has 111 clubs. 55.78%, vetoed 29.65%.

Since the beginning of 2018, the balance of the two cities in Shanghai and Shenzhen has shown a downward trend. At the beginning of the year, the balance of the two financings totaled 1,029.8 billion yuan, down to 99.4 billion yuan in the middle of the year. By the end of the year, this figure was further reduced to about 760 billion yuan.

â–  Forecast

The stock market will fluctuate next year.

Minsheng Securities believes that in the coming year, the valuation adjustment is coming to an end, and the future index will slowly slide down along the profit. The market reversal based on the profit turning point may be late, and the rebound based on the second oversold will arrive early.

When Shenwan Hongyuan Securities predicted the trend of the A-share market next year, it also called 2019 a “sole year” after the rapid decline of the market. The structural opportunities will increase compared with 2018.

CITIC Securities has proposed that A shares will usher in the beginning of the next three to five years of revival of cattle in 2019. Under the influence of profit, policy and liquidity, the market is expected to consolidate in the first quarter of next year, and the second quarter will gradually enter the upward stage of profit and valuation to repair resonance.

CICC forecasts that from the current year to the end of 2019, the A-share market may experience a period of continued risk release and opportunity emergence, and timing is crucial. The overall valuation of A-shares has been low. As the market interest rate falls, the foundation for valuation expansion has already been initially established. In the future, there is a need to stabilize the growth expectations and to realize the potential for digging, improving efficiency and increasing vitality. In addition, long-term funds such as foreign capital and real estate funds may flow in to support the improvement of A-share liquidity.

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