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Chinese shale gas model replicates the United States
**Abstract**
China is not standing aside in the global shale gas revolution. On April 6th, the Boao Forum for Asia hosted a sub-forum titled “Shale Gas Revolution: A New Force to Change the Pattern of Supply and Demand.†Energy leaders and experts expressed optimism about China’s potential in developing its shale gas resources.
According to Ren Keying, Chairman of Bank of America Merrill Lynch China, details on industry access, environmental protection, and market opening are currently under review and expected to be announced soon. He believes the future of China’s shale gas sector is promising. Zhang Guobao, former director of the National Energy Administration, acknowledged the challenges but remains confident that China can replicate the U.S. success in shale gas development.
**Sino-US Gap**
While China holds comparable shale gas reserves to the U.S., the pace of development differs significantly. In the U.S., shale gas production surged from 12.2 billion cubic meters in 2000 to 137.8 billion cubic meters in 2010—a more than 11-fold increase. This boom has led to energy independence, lower emissions, and enhanced industrial competitiveness.
Frank Ing Shali, chairman of Pacific Energy Development, hopes that China can follow a similar path. Robert Holmitz, U.S. Deputy Secretary of State for Economic Affairs, Energy, and Agriculture, believes the U.S. model can be replicated globally. Artem Volynets of the Russian EN Group emphasized that the key to success lies in technological and institutional innovation, which the U.S. has mastered through supportive policies.
Despite having similar reserves, China faces greater geological and technical challenges. Liu Yijun of China University of Petroleum noted that shale gas is gaining attention as an unconventional resource. Gao Zimin of Shenzhen Energy Group highlighted the deeper and more complex nature of China’s shale deposits.
**Strive to Catch Up**
The Chinese government is actively working to boost shale gas production. The National Energy Administration held a meeting on April 8th to implement the “Shale Gas Development Plan†as part of the “Twelfth Five-Year Plan.†The goal is to accelerate independent exploration, enhance technology, and achieve industrialization.
Russian companies have signed cooperation agreements with Chinese firms, signaling growing international interest. Huadian and other energy giants are already investing in projects across Yunnan, Guizhou, and Hunan. Galaxy Securities forecasts that over 40,000 wells will be drilled by 2020, with total investment exceeding 800 billion yuan.
**A Lot of Difficulties**
Experts warn that the road ahead is challenging. Zhang Guobao admitted that early-stage technical limitations may keep shale gas’s contribution small. Lin Boqiang of Xiamen University pointed out the high capital requirements and risks involved. Artem Volynets added that China needs a comprehensive system, not just technology, to support large-scale development.
Zhang Guobao also stressed the importance of foreign expertise in the early stages. “China has the funds, but lacks the technology,†he said.
**Reporter Observation: Shale Gas Rewrites the Energy Map**
This quiet revolution is reshaping the energy landscape. The U.S. experience shows how shale gas can transform an entire industry. If China can replicate this, it could dramatically alter its energy mix and reduce reliance on coal.
With energy costs in the U.S. much lower than in China, the pressure on Chinese industries is increasing. The shale gas revolution is no longer confined to the U.S.—it’s spreading to regions like Eastern Europe and China. As oil and coal lose their dominance, shale gas could become the next major energy source.
Fan Wei, an economist, argues that achieving a well-off society by 2020 depends on reliable, affordable, and clean energy. The 18th Party Congress emphasized the need for an energy revolution, highlighting the urgency of structural changes.
As China moves forward, the challenge lies not only in technology but in rethinking the entire energy system. With strong policy support and international collaboration, the country is determined to catch up—and perhaps even lead—in the global shale gas race.