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Policy to warm the wind to ignite the "fire" of the photovoltaic industry
A PV company employee is producing solar panel panels. A series of favorable policies have been passed, and the “oasis†of the domestic market has emerged. The Chinese PV industry is about to usher in the spring. The "Twelfth Five-Year Plan" installed capacity has jumped from 9 million kilowatts to 15 million kilowatts, the price subsidy has doubled, and the polysilicon industry has accelerated its integration. The expansion of the domestic market for the Chinese PV industry in distress, the warm air from domestic policy may be able to Give them a winter coat. The media reported that the forthcoming "12th Five-Year Plan for Renewable Energy Development" is expected to significantly increase the installed capacity of photovoltaic power generation in China (from the previous 9 million kilowatts to 15 million kilowatts); renewable energy tariffs are also available (also The source of funding for renewable energy subsidies is also expected to increase from 4%/kWh to 8%/kWh. Significantly increasing installed capacity and subsidies means that the long-awaited start of the domestic market will be a major breakthrough. In addition, the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology's actions to promote the integration of the polysilicon industry are also accelerating. The list of the first batch of polysilicon access companies will be announced soon, which is also a great boon for the development of China's polysilicon industry. The foreign market “small and poor†domestic market “Liu Huaming†“Two ends outside†has always been the biggest weakness of China's PV industry. More than 90% of China's PV products rely on overseas market digestion, and the shrinking of European PV market is making China's PV industry most severely encountered. The test. In an interview with this reporter, the relevant responsible persons of Wuxi Suntech, Yingli Green Energy, Leshan Power and other companies have been expecting the domestic market to start, and find a new “oasis†for China's photovoltaic manufacturing industry. Today, the desire of the domestic photovoltaic industry is expected to become a reality. The 12th Five-Year Plan for Renewable Energy Development (hereinafter referred to as the “Planningâ€) will be released soon. Compared with the previous draft, the upcoming “Planning†is expected to raise the target of solar power generation during the “Twelfth Five-Year Plan†period to 1500. Ten thousand kilowatts. China's PV installed capacity is expanding, which is undoubtedly the biggest advantage for China's PV industry. In 2010, China's photovoltaic installed capacity was only 900,000 kilowatts. According to Ash Sharma, senior research director of the market research organization IM S Photovoltaic, in 2011, under the support of some support policies, China's PV installations may reach 2.5 GW. It is this rapid growth that has prompted the relevant departments to significantly increase the installed capacity of the 12th Five-Year Plan. In order to further promote the development of photovoltaic power generation, the above-mentioned authoritative sources also revealed that the new renewable energy power generation price has been formed, and the future will be based on the changes in CPI. According to the plan, the price of electricity is expected to increase to 8% / kWh, doubling the current standard of 4 PCT / kWh. Photovoltaic power generation is currently inseparable from policy subsidies. Meng Xianyu, vice chairman of the China Renewable Energy Society, pointed out that in 2010, an estimated $1 billion was spent on subsidizing renewable energy. This subsidy is obviously too small. If the electricity bill is added to a penny per kilowatt-hour, then by 2020, it will receive a total of 500 billion yuan. As long as photovoltaic power generation can be divided into 100 billion yuan, this 100 billion subsidy can support 100 million kilowatts of solar power. At the same time, the integration of polysilicon enterprises will be injected into the “cardiotonic agentâ€. At the same time, the country’s integration of the polysilicon industry in the photovoltaic industry is also accelerating. Since April this year, polysilicon prices have been falling all the way. By last week, the spot price of polysilicon in the international market has fallen below the $30/kg mark. In China's polysilicon enterprises, except for some leading enterprises that can make the cost below 30 US dollars / kg, the production cost of most SMEs is about 50 US dollars / kg, which means that among China's more than 50 polysilicon production enterprises, Most companies are producing at a loss. According to Li Yichun, deputy director of the New Materials Expert Committee of the China Association for Industry, Education and Research Cooperation, most of the domestic polysilicon enterprises have already stopped production and reduced production. "Not only the small business days are sad, but the days of leading enterprises in the industry are not comfortable. Although these large enterprises have not stopped production, many of them have already stopped several production lines." The polysilicon enterprise group is in a difficult situation and the industry needs to be integrated. Not long ago, the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology took the lead and organized several departments to hold a polysilicon business forum in Sichuan. "The main talk is about industry integration. I hope that large enterprises will merge with SMEs." A person in charge of the company who participated in the discussion told the reporter. At the beginning of this year, the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology and other three departments jointly announced the access conditions for polysilicon industry, which opened the prelude to the integration of polysilicon industry. In September, the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology released the "12th Five-Year Development Plan for Solar Photovoltaic Industry" (draft for comments), The polysilicon industry proposes guiding ideas such as overall planning, rational distribution, and support for superiority and support. A senior executive of Poly GCL, the largest polysilicon company in China, told reporters that the entry list has been underway for nearly a year, and the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology is expected to launch the first list of companies that have passed industry access review. Wang Haisheng, an analyst at Huatai United Securities, believes that the promotion of industry integration is accompanied by supporting advantageous enterprises and eliminating outdated enterprises. Therefore, companies such as Xinguang Silicon, Tianwei Baobian and GCL-Poly can meet the target in the next 5 years. Accelerate the expansion of production scale and occupy a favorable position before the domestic market is fully launched. Linking multiple countries to reduce subsidies, the overseas market situation is still grim. Recently, Germany and Italy announced that the subsidies for photovoltaic installations in 2012 were lowered by 15% and 9% respectively. The UK also announced that subsidies for small system installations have fallen from 43 pence per kWh to 20 pence. Solarbuzz, the solar market regulator, estimates that the European solar market will decline by 72% in the first quarter of next year. Although the US PV market is growing at a faster rate, the US Department of Commerce has recently launched a “double-reverse†survey on China's PV industry and is likely to impose punitive tariffs on Chinese PV products exported to the US. Shen Fuxin, secretary-general of photovoltaic product production in Zhejiang Province, told reporters that for the photovoltaic industry, which is now at a low profit or even no profit stage, even if only 10% of the anti-dumping tax will eventually lead domestic companies to abandon the US market.